Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001038 1.180195e-03 0.001324 0.001481 0.001646 0.001813 0.001996
2025-03-23 0.000804 1.022696e-03 0.001255 0.001516 0.001801 0.002099 0.002432
2025-03-30 0.000596 8.656369e-04 0.001167 0.001521 0.001918 0.002344 0.002830
2025-04-06 0.000436 7.400263e-04 0.001099 0.001537 0.002042 0.002595 0.003237
2025-04-13 0.000317 6.420008e-04 0.001050 0.001565 0.002175 0.002854 0.003654
2025-04-20 0.000196 5.162375e-04 0.000951 0.001524 0.002220 0.003011 0.003953
2025-04-27 0.000108 4.094099e-04 0.000861 0.001483 0.002259 0.003154 0.004234
2025-05-04 0.000068 3.673541e-04 0.000851 0.001538 0.002409 0.003425 0.004660
2025-05-11 0.000028 2.988532e-04 0.000793 0.001525 0.002472 0.003591 0.004962
2025-05-18 0.000001 2.094552e-04 0.000688 0.001438 0.002437 0.003636 0.005120
2025-05-25 NaN 1.539561e-04 0.000624 0.001402 0.002461 0.003747 0.005352
2025-06-01 NaN 1.037891e-04 0.000555 0.001351 0.002462 0.003828 0.005546
2025-06-08 NaN 6.600805e-05 0.000504 0.001333 0.002517 0.003991 0.005860
2025-06-15 NaN 4.964516e-05 0.000497 0.001383 0.002667 0.004278 0.006328
2025-06-22 NaN 2.948205e-05 0.000469 0.001398 0.002772 0.004510 0.006735
2025-06-29 NaN 1.541011e-05 0.000446 0.001420 0.002886 0.004755 0.007159
2025-07-06 NaN 6.718131e-06 0.000430 0.001452 0.003013 0.005018 0.007605
2025-07-13 NaN 9.222757e-10 0.000378 0.001415 0.003042 0.005155 0.007899
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000329 0.001377 0.003067 0.005284 0.008182
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000330 0.001432 0.003223 0.005582 0.008670
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000298 0.001420 0.003281 0.005752 0.009002
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000236 0.001336 0.003230 0.005779 0.009155
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000201 0.001301 0.003248 0.005893 0.009414